When is az primary

John McCain won only 52 percent of the GOP primary vote in his last election, in , but he still won the general by 13 points. Another Democrat could challenge Sinema in and win. That person would have to be similarly well known, with plenty of money and optimism to spare: Winning a primary challenge against an incumbent senator is extremely difficult; only five people have done it this century, according to FiveThirtyEight.

Four of those five went on to lose the general election. If another Democrat did win the nomination over Sinema, they might struggle in the general. Sixteen percent of Republican women in Maricopa County, where most Arizonans live, broke with their party to vote for Sinema in , making her the first Democrat to win a Senate race in the state in 30 years.

I wrote about some of those women then—and I called them up again for this story. Jane Andersen, a former Republican, told me that Sinema represents the interests of moderates. I recognized a little bit of Sinema in these women—an eagerness to buck expectations. Senate race Utah U. Senate race Vermont U. Senate race Washington U. Senate race Wisconsin U. Senate race Submit. Democratic primary for U. Senate Arizona. Republican primary for U. Special general election for U. Special Democratic primary for U.

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Sabato's Crystal Ball. Martha McSally R. Matthew Dorchester L Write-in. Garland Shreves R. Christine Marsh D. John Wilson R. Judy Stahl D. Quang Nguyen R. Judy Burges R. Andrea Dalessandro D. Deborah McEwen R. Joel John R. Coral Evans D. Brenda Barton R. James Parks R. David Peelman R. Sharon Girard D.

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Justin Wilmeth R. Jacqueline Parker R. Liz Harris R. Bob Robson R. Judy Schwiebert D. Kathy Knecht D. Beverly Pingerelli R.